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FAA Assessment of Anti-terrorist Devices
An Assessment of Automatic or Remote Control of Distressed
Commercial Transports As a Means of Mitigating a Hijacked Transport
Being Used as a Weapon
By Harman A. Rediess, PhD
Director, Office of Aviation Research
Federal Aviation Administration
Several suggestions have been made to develop systems
that in some form would take unrestricted control of the aircraft away
from the pilot. In some cases the automatic system would prevent a
pilot from controlling the aircraft into specific defined airspace or
proximity to the ground, i.e., "refuse-to-crash system" or "automated
ground proximity avoidance system". Such systems might be considered
an extension of the envelope limiting system implemented by Airbus on
A-320, in which pilot control is restricted to prevent the aircraft
from entering unsafe portions of the flight envelope. Other cases
would take total control away from the pilot and either control the
plane automatically to pre-determined holding maneuvers and/or land it
at a secure airport or control the plane remotely from the ground or
another aircraft.
1. The objective is to prevent terrorist hijackers from crashing a
commercial transport into high value civil or military assets with the
loss of many innocent people, such as happened on September 11, 2001.
Clearly the first priority should be to prevent terrorists from
boarding commercial aircraft or getting any type of weapon on board.
(See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
2. Second priority is to prevent terrorists from over
powering the crew and taking control of the aircraft, if they get on
board. Only if the other interventions are unsuccessful, would we want
to deal with preventing hijackers from crashing the aircraft. In that
case, clearly concepts that might preserve the lives of the passengers
and crew would be preferred to any action that would destroy the
aircraft. (See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
3. All of the automatic or remote control concepts
that have been suggested are technically feasible. Most are
derivatives of systems currently operational for military missions.
The most challenging aspects are not technical but policy acceptance,
safety and implementation issues that would have to be resolved before
a decision to use the concept could be made. If any of these concepts
were to be considered for implementation, it should be demonstrated on
commercial transport in an operational situation. However, before
considering such demonstrations, the associated policy, acceptance,
safety and implementation issues must be addressed. Some issues are so
serious that if not resolved, would preclude its implementation or
render it ineffective from mitigating terrorist acts.
(See Point-by-Point Comments.)
4. Technical Issues - A common feature of all concepts
is that unrestricted control of the aircraft is taken away from the
pilot and the pilot must not be able to override the actions of the
automatic system. In the refuse-to-crash type concepts, the pilot
retains control everywhere accept in the restricted areas, but would
not be allowed to override the system imposed restrictions. In order
to implement the restrictions, the aircraft primary control system and
probably engine throttles would have to be modified to preclude the
pilot from overriding the restriction. This is the most difficult
technical aspect of the concepts.
(See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
5. Primary flight control and throttle systems are
designed specifically to assure that the pilot never losses control of
the aircraft. A small percent of current commercial transports have
fly-by-wire (FBW) primary flight control systems that might be
modified in a relatively short time to prevent pilot override. Only
about 20% of the Boeing and Airbus commercial jet transports have FBW
systems: Boeing 777, and, Airbus A-319, A-320, A-321, A-330, A-340.
Even those aircraft would have to be assessed by the manufacturer to
determine how difficult it would be to modify. Boeing and Airbus have
different design philosophies for FBW. Boeing aircraft would be more
difficult to limit pilot control with no ability to override than
Airbus aircraft. As mentioned above, Airbus has already implemented an
envelope limiting system on the A-320. Only Airbus aircraft have "FBW"
throttles. I believe Concord, some Russian transports, and the soon to
be certified Embraer-RJ170 and Domier-728 have FBW systems, but I'm
not familiar with those systems.
6. The remaining Boeing, Airbus, and all other
transports, and business aircraft would be much more difficult, costly
or even totally impractical to modify. When considering effectiveness
of such systems to mitigate terrorist actions, we must assume that
terrorists are smart enough to figure this out and stay away from FBW
type aircraft in the future. (See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
7. Primary flight control, engine throttle systems,
and the way in which autopilots, flight management systems and
stability augmentation systems interface with them, vary widely across
the transport fleet and in some cases across different models of the
same type of aircraft. Each system would have to be assessed
individually. At a minimum, their primary actuation and throttle
systems would have to be modified to provide a fail-safe method of
locking out the pilot input in the distressed situation, or installing
a FBW system. If the concept is to land the aircraft after taking over
control, other subsystems such as the flaps, slats, landing gears,
brakes, etc., would have to be controlled by the automatic system with
no way for an on board pilot to override. All of those are very costly
retrofits, and for many of the older aircraft totally impractical -
too many systems and subsystems would have to be replaced. If such
modification were made, safety considerations for normal operations
would require more redundancy and complex systems.
(See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
9. All aircraft, FBW or not, would require significant
modifications to the flight management system, autopilot,
auto-throttle, autoland, and/or installation of entirely new
avionics, depending on the concept. The refuse-to-crash type concepts
would probably require less avionics modifications than the automatic
or remote control concepts. (See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
10. Safety Issues - Safety is always the most critical
issue of any new aircraft system, particularly systems that affect
primary control. All of these concepts violate the fundamental safety
tenant of commercial transport control, that the pilotis ultimately
responsible for aircraft's safety. These concepts purposely take that
responsibility away from the pilot. The basic safety design philosophy
of commercial transport control would be changed. Airbus design
philosophy may be the closest to accepting such systems based on their
experience with envelope limiting systems. Even though these systems
would be used for very rare occurrences and operate for a relative
short period of time, they must meet strict safety requirements and be
certified. (See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
11. FAA and industry would have to establish
requirements both for normal operations, when these automatic systems
must not engage, and the emergency situation when it is to take over
control from the pilot. The system elements that prevent unwanted
engagement of the.
(See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
12. automatic systems would have to have at least the
same reliability as FBW systems, including critical subsystems, such
as the electrical and hydraulic systems. If the system depends on a
digital terrain data base, the data base becomes a flight critical
item which must be certified and maintained up to date for all
geographic areas in which the aircraft could operate. One would also
have to investigate non-normal conditions, such as loose of both
engines or loose of navigation capability.
(See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
13. Policy and Acceptance Issues - It's not clear if
there are formal government policy issues or not, but some form of
agreement among the U.S. and foreign governments, and international
aviation industry, transport operators, and pilot associations would
be needed. For the concepts to be effective deterrent, all transports
and similar aircraft capable of operating near high value assets,
would have to incorporate the systems. There are acceptance issues
that pilot associations and transport operators would have to address.
Even going from an Airbus envelope limiting system, which pilots
understand are for their safety, to a refuse-to-crash type system,
that limits the pilot's ability to fly in certain airspace, may not be
that easy for pilots to accept. What if, during an emergency condition
on take-off, a pilot needs to fly through the restricted airspace in
order to recover the aircraft and the system prevented him from doing
that? It might also raise new legal issues of responsibility among
aircraft manufacturers, air carriers and "owners" of the automatic
systems, when control and safety responsibility is taken away from the
pilot. (See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
14. Implementation Issues - Modifying the world fleet
of commercial transports, including jets, turboprops and others, of
sufficient size to be considered a possible threat if hijacked, would
be an enormous and costly task. Just considering the world-wide fleet
of Boeing and Airbus aircraft, there are about 2,304 with FBW systems:
358 B-777; 1,549 A-319, A-320, and A-321; 196 A-330; and 201 A-340.
There are 8,663 non-FBW Boeing and Airbus commercial transports. To
cover all aircraft that could be commandeered by terrorists, it would
be necessary to modify all the other transports, regional and commuter
aircraft, cargo, chartered or leased aircraft, and even the larger
business aircraft. For the near future, no airline will have the
financial resources to even modify the FBW aircraft. It's not clear
that they would ever have sufficient funds to retrofit the non-FBW
aircraft. A cost analysis has not been done, but the modification and
retrofit costs could easily be in the tens of billions of dollars or
more worldwide and take several decades to complete.
(See Point-by-Point Comments.)
In the long term such systems might be considered for
future aircraft as the fleet needs to be replaced. Even in that
situation, implementation is more likely if there are associated
financial and/or safety benefits.
(See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
17. Terrorist Mitigation Effectiveness Issues - How
effective would these concepts in mitigating terrorist attacks using
an aircraft as a weapon? The suggestions have focused on the September
11th scenario. We must analyze how a terrorist might defeat these
systems through abnormal actions. For example, if the refuse-to-crash
system only protected against normal aircraft maneuvers, a terrorist
might fly well above the protected airspace then put the aircraft in a
high speed suicide dive towards the target from which the aircraft
could not be safely recovered even with an automatic system. To be
effective, the system would have to consider all conceivable abnormal
maneuvers and prevent those maneuvers well out side the protected
areas. Considering all the variations that might exist for all the
desired protected areas would be a significant and complicating
factor. One must also consider all the ways in which a terrorists
might sabotage the aircraft if an automatic system takes control of
the aircraft, such as shutting down the engines. It may prevent using
the aircraft as a weapon against a ground target but the passengers
and crew would be killed - a terrorist act we must also prevent.
(See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
18. Looking to the future, we need to be very
innovative to identify all the otherways in which a terrorist might
use aircraft as a weapon or delivery of weapons and then develop the
best overall security measures, which may or may not include these
suggestions. If all the world's fleet of commercial transports were
protected, what about chartered, purchased or leased transport
aircraft? With the financial backing the Al Qaeda seems to have, they
could purchase an unmodified used transport or business jet as a
personal aircraft with their own pilots. Terrorists could lease or
purchase large GA aircraft, load them with high explosives, and fly
them into ground targets. It is possible to modify the autopilots and
add a remote control data link and turn an ordinary transport business
jet or high end GA aircraft into a remote controlled UAV. We must also
consider that either the piloted or UAV versions of a private aircraft
could be used to deliver weapons of mass destruction.
(See Point-by-Point Comments.)
19. None of these concepts, including the
refuse-to-crash type, are potential near-term interventions. Airlines
are in no financial condition to make required modifications, even for
the easier modified Airbus transports. Modifications of non-FBW
aircraft are likely to be several decades off, if ever. Modifying 18%
to 20% of the fleet does nothing to increase security, because
terrorists would just select unmodified non-FBW aircraft as their
target for hijacking.
(See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
20. With all the options open to misuse aircraft, a
rigorously analysis of potential terrorist scenarios and mitigation
options should be conducted before choosing which combination of
interventions are needed to provide the best overall security.
(See
Point-by-Point Comments.)
Note: This paper represents the views of the author.
The following people provided comments, information and/or criticism:
John Hansman, MIT
Joe Jackson, Honeywell
Stephen Luckey, ALPA
Tony Lambregis, FAA
George Greens, FAA
Dres Zellweger, ERAU/NASA
Doug Arbuckle, NASA Langley |